Kalshi Nears $40 Billion Valuation Amid Predictive Market Boom

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2026-06-25 12:38:02

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Predictive markets are entering a hypergrowth phase as Kalshi negotiates a funding round that could value the platform at $40 billion—nearly doubling its May 2026 valuation of $22 billion. The Financial Times reports trading volumes surged to $17 billion last month, up from $5 billion a year prior, signaling institutional recognition of prediction markets as legitimate financial infrastructure.

Founder Tarek Mansour’s platform has achieved an 8x valuation jump in under twelve months, with its Series F raise of $1 billion at $22 billion now eclipsed by prospective new capital. Analysts view this trajectory as more than speculative fervor, reflecting structural demand for alternative risk-hedging instruments.

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